Organisation
“We are a small research group forecasting the future of AI, funded by charitable donations and grants.”In its own words: aifutures.org
ForecastingGovernance & policy

Nonprofit research group, led by Daniel Kokotajlo, that forecasts AI progress and its impacts; authors of the AI 2027 scenario.

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Received $3.4M from 2 funders

’24
’25
’26
Led by Daniel Kokotajlo (Executive Director)Checked 25 Oct 2026

Money flows

Where its money came from and where it went. Pick years and what to show; hover a box or ribbon for details, click one to focus it, click the background to see everything.

All grants

22 grants totalling $3.4M, newest first.

2026 1 grant · $1.3M
DateFunderAmountPurpose
30 Sep 2026Survival and Flourishing Fund$1.3MSFF-2026 Main Round: General support source
2025 20 grants · $1.6M
DateFunderAmountPurpose
8 Sep 2025Manifund$100AI forecasting and policy research by the AI 2027 team source
Sep 2025Survival and Flourishing Fund$1.5MSFF-2025: General support (base amount; the $500,000 conditional matching pledge is a separate row) source
26 Aug 2025Manifund$500AI forecasting and policy research by the AI 2027 team source
23 Aug 2025Manifund$10AI forecasting and policy research by the AI 2027 team source
5 Aug 2025Manifund$5kAI forecasting and policy research by the AI 2027 team source
1 Aug 2025Manifund$202AI forecasting and policy research by the AI 2027 team source
30 Jul 2025Manifund$200AI forecasting and policy research by the AI 2027 team source
28 Jul 2025Manifund$100AI forecasting and policy research by the AI 2027 team source
21 Jul 2025Manifund$10AI forecasting and policy research by the AI 2027 team source
17 Jul 2025Manifund$2kAI forecasting and policy research by the AI 2027 team source
22 May 2025Manifund$15kAI forecasting and policy research by the AI 2027 team source
22 May 2025Manifund$100AI forecasting and policy research by the AI 2027 team source
16 May 2025Manifund$200AI forecasting and policy research by the AI 2027 team source
10 May 2025Manifund$5kAI forecasting and policy research by the AI 2027 team source
7 May 2025Manifund$5kAI forecasting and policy research by the AI 2027 team source
7 May 2025Manifund$5kAI forecasting and policy research by the AI 2027 team source
7 May 2025Manifund$5kAI forecasting and policy research by the AI 2027 team source
7 May 2025Manifund$250AI forecasting and policy research by the AI 2027 team source
7 May 2025Manifund$30AI forecasting and policy research by the AI 2027 team source
7 May 2025Manifund$20AI forecasting and policy research by the AI 2027 team source
2024 1 grant · $505k
DateFunderAmountPurpose
30 Oct 2024Survival and Flourishing Fund$505kSFF-2024: General support of AI Futures Project source