“Our longer-term plan is to convert our hypothesis map into a quantitative model that can be used to calculate decision-relevant probability estimates.”In its own words: lesswrong.com
Research project, begun at Johns Hopkins APL, mapping the key hypotheses, cruxes and relationships behind risks from transformative AI, with models built in the Analytica decision-modelling software.
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Led by Daniel Eth (project lead (FHI))Checked 26 Oct 2026
Money flows
Where its money came from and where it went. Pick years and what to show; hover a box or ribbon for details, click one to focus it, click the background to see everything.