“especially in areas like evaluating risks from AI or biotechnology”In its own words: coefficientgiving.org
A former Coefficient Giving (formerly Open Philanthropy) fund for forecasting tools, research and tournaments. It stopped being active on 30 March; Coefficient Giving continues to make key forecasting grants through other funds, such as Navigating Transformative AI.
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A Coefficient Giving fund, now closed, that backed forecasting platforms and tools (including AI-based ones), forecasting research, tournaments, and the use of forecasting in high-stakes decisions. Its key forecasting grants now continue through other funds such as Navigating Transformative AI.
Typical grant $610k ($356k–$2.8M)
Itemised here $13M in 9 grants
Money flows
Where its money came from and where it went. Pick years and what to show; hover a box or ribbon for details, click one to focus it, click the background to see everything.
How to apply
- Applications
- Not stated
Programmes
Biggest recipients
- Metaculus$6M
- RAND Corporation$3.4M
- Sage$2.2M
- Mantic$610k
- FutureSearch$356k
- Good Judgment Inc.$350k
All grants
9 grants totalling $13M, newest first. Recipients link to their own pages; people who received grants without a public profile are shown by number.
2026 1 grant · $350k
| Date | Recipient | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2026 | Good Judgment Inc. | $350k | AI Question-Generation Tool source |
2025 4 grants · $5.6M
| Date | Recipient | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2025 | Swift Centre for Applied Forecasting | $302k | Forecasting Workshops source |
| Oct 2025 | Sage | $1.6M | General Support source |
| Jul 2025 | Metaculus | $3.3M | Forecasting Platform source |
| May 2025 | FutureSearch | $356k | Forecasting Question Automation source |