“Metaculus is an online forecasting platform and aggregation engine working to improve human reasoning”In its own words: metaculus.com
Forecasting platform and aggregation engine running questions and tournaments, including many on AI progress and risk.
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Received $8.2M from 5 funders
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Checked 26 Oct 2026
Money flows
Where its money came from and where it went. Pick years and what to show; hover a box or ribbon for details, click one to focus it, click the background to see everything.
Funded by
All grants
8 grants totalling $8.2M, newest first.
2025 3 grants · $4.7M
| Date | Funder | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2025 | Survival and Flourishing Fund | $750k | SFF-2025: General support source |
| Jul 2025 | Coefficient Giving | $3.3M | Forecasting Platform source |
| 19 Jun 2025 | Advanced Research + Invention Agency | $631k | Safeguarded AI (contract, 13 months); £497,156 incl. VAT where applicable (FY25-26 transparency recap) source |
2024 2 grants · $3.3M
| Date | Funder | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2024 | Coefficient Giving | $532k | Forecasting Tournaments source |
| Apr 2024 | Coefficient Giving | $2.8M | Platform Development source |
2020 2 grants · $165k
| Date | Funder | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2020 | Long-Term Future Fund | $65k | April 2020 payout report (paid 15 Apr 2020): Making the Metaculus forecasting platform useful for EA organisations [forecasting; counted for now] [report rows sum to $552,900 vs the stated $488,350 total] source |
| 19 Mar 2020 | Jaan Tallinn | $100k | Jaan Tallinn gift (direct): General support [forecasting; counted for now] source |
2019 1 grant · $70k
| Date | Funder | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2019 | Long-Term Future Fund | $70k | April 2019 payout report (paid 21 Mar 2019): Expanding the Metaculus forecasting platform and community [forecasting; counted for now] source |